Will Arizona’s GOP trifecta vanish in 2021?

Political junkies who love a good soap opera should tune in to Arizona's Legislative District 6, where the 2020 election could end the Republican's "trifecta" control of the Governor's Office, the State House and the Senate.

The drama is playing out in a geographically large Northern Arizona district that comprises Flagstaff, Sedona, Payson and Holbrook and covers parts of Coconino, Yavapai, Gila and Navajo counties.

The district is currently 38% Republican, 32% independent and 29% Democratic. The 2018 record voter turnout (65% statewide) produced close races for both the Senate and House, as Independents swung toward Democratic candidates. This proved once again that, in Arizona, higher turnouts benefit the Democratic Party, as long as the majority of indies lean left.

The 2020 general election turnout may hit 80%, the highest in 40 years.

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