COVID-19 models: What do they say about Arizona?

PHOENIX — COVID-19 models. We hear about them at press briefings by state and federal officials. They can be found everywhere online, from the Imperial College of London model that was first used to sound the alarms around the world, to the University of Washington model, that is being utilized by several states, including our own, to manage --and anticipate -- hospital resource allocation. What do they mean? And what do the models tell us about the potential impact COVID-19 could have on Arizona? Kate Ellingson is an assistant professor of epidemiology and biostatistics at the University of Arizona. She is part of a team that is modeling COVID-19 for its potential impact on both Arizona and Pima County, which covers parts of southwestern Arizona and Tucson.

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